We ran this model three separate times, once using high estimates, once using low estimates, and once using our best estimates for each variable in the equasion.  The resulting high and low estimates of phosphorus loading (W) and phosphorus concentration (P), represent the possible range, while our best estimate for W and P represent the value within that range, that we feel most accuratly represents what is actually happening in China Lake.
	According to our best estimate, the phosphorus loading model predicted that the amount of phosphorus entering the lake from external sources was 2,447 kg/yr.  This would result in a concentration of phosphorus within the lake of 10.1 ppb.
	However there is also a large amount of phosphorus entering the lake from the sediments.  When phosphorus from both sediment release and external sources were accounted for, the model predicted that 4,843 kg/yr of phosphorus entered the lake, nearly twice as much as when only external sources were included.  This results in a concentration of phosphorus of 18.8 ppb, according to our best estimate.
	These concentrations are very similar to the phosphorus concentrations observed over the past summer and fall.  Our best estimate of the phosphorus concentration from the model (18.8 ppb) is exactly the same as the mean  phosphorus concentration of surface, mid, and epicore samples taken over the summer and fall.  Our high estimate corresponds with the mean phosphorus concentration of all samples, including the extremely high bottom samples.