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Every major enterprise or institution, from the
Roman Empire to the Catholic Church--even the discipline of meteorology--must
pay homage to its past and make efforts to preserve, interpret and disseminate
its heritage. The atomic age caused a surge of interest in the history of
physics. The space program focused attention on astronomers and the history of
astronomy. Now that genetic engineering is ascendant, the history of the life
sciences is in the spotlight.
It is meteorology's turn. Through local forecasts, modern meteorology reaches
more people each day than any other science. Scientific and social concerns
about air pollution, ozone depletion and global climate change have focused
international attention on atmospheric science. Scientists and the educated
public need to know more about the history of meteorology. Attention to history
(what I call "science dynamics") is a necessary step in the maturation of a
scientific discipline.
Meteorology has a rich heritage and distinguished intellectual ancestors:
Aristotle, Galileo Galilei, Réne Descartes and Benjamin Franklin among
them. But not all pioneers of meteorological science and their work are widely
celebrated. An obscure example of an "extinct meteorological instrument" was
used by the noted meteorologist Elias Loomis 160 years ago. It was a brilliant
use of available materials.
In the 1830s meteorologists could only guess how fast winds blow inside a
tornado. No one had figured out a way to measure them. But people had noticed
that twisters sometimes stripped barnyard fowl of their feathers. In 1838,
Loomis, a Yale-educated meteorologist at Western Reserve College in Ohio,
reported this phenomenon in an article in the prestigious American Journal
of Science: [Following the recent tornado] "there were . . . geese, hens
and turkeys, in considerable numbers (lying dead), and several of the fowls
were picked almost clean of their feathers, as if it had been done carefully by
hand."
Attempting to calibrate the speed of tornado winds, Loomis assembled his
students and interested faculty on the college green and loaded a cannon with
black powder and a freshly killed chicken. "The gun was pointed vertically
upwards and fired," Loomis reported. "The feathers rose twenty or thirty feet,
and were scattered by the wind. On examination they were found to be pulled out
clean, the skin seldom adhering to them. The body was torn into small
fragments, only a part of which could be found. The velocity is computed at . .
. three hundred and forty one miles per hour. A fowl, then, forced through the
air with this velocity, is torn entirely to pieces; with a less velocity, it is
probable most of the feathers might be pulled out without mutilating the body."
Loomis's estimate 160 years ago was very close to the modern value for wind
speeds in a strong, F-5 tornado--about 300 miles per hour.
A half century later in a paper presented to the Stockholm Physical Society in
1895 and published the following year in the Philosophical Magazine,
Svante Arrhenius demonstrated that variations of atmospheric CO2 concentration
could have a great effect on the overall heat budget and surface temperature of
the planet and may have been sufficient to have caused glacial and interglacial
periods. He also thought humans might be inadvertently changing the climate. In
1905, Arrhenius observed that "the percentage of carbonic acid in the air must
be increasing" in proportion to the consumption of coal and other fossil fuels.
This would cause a warming trend.
It would be a mistake, however, to consider this work a direct forerunner of
current climate concerns. Arrhenius predicted that in the distant future the
Earth would be "visited by a new ice period that will drive us from our
temperate countries into the hotter climates of Africa." He thought that
burning fossil fuels could help prevent a new Ice Age and could perhaps
inaugurate a new carboniferous age of enormous plant growth. In his popular
book, Worlds in the Making, he wrote: "By the influence of the
increasing percentage of carbonic acid in the atmosphere, we may hope to enjoy
ages with more equable and better climates, especially as regards the colder
regions of the earth, ages when the earth will bring forth much more abundant
crops than at present, for the benefit of rapidly propagating mankind." A cold
Swede dreams of big cabbages.
It is important to note that Arrhenius's view of the potentially
beneficial effects of carbon dioxide emissions differs radically from current
environmental concerns over the harmful effects of a potential global warming
caused by fossil fuel emissions. Moreover, the carbon dioxide theory of climate
change was out of scientific favor for the first five decades of this
century.
The history of science can be fun and enlightening. Undoubtedly there are more
good stories out there. If you know of one, please share it with me. Who knows?
You might end up in the history books.
Associate Professor of Science, Technology and Society James Rodger Fleming is the
author of Meteorology in America, 1800-1870 (Johns Hopkins University Press,
1990) and Historical Perspectives on Climate Change (Oxford University Press,
1998), which included these anecdotes.
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