Assistant Professor of Biology Chris Moore was tapped to comment on a Portland Press Herald article titled “Widely cited health institute keeps missing the mark on Maine death projections.” Models often get a bad rap, Moore said, because they’re not perfect and numerically imprecise. “That is just the nature of dealing with complex systems,” he told the Press Herald.
“Moore liked one of his student’s comparisons of infectious disease modeling to using a smartphone for driving directions. Your phone’s GPS should be able to predict with some precision when you will arrive in, say, nearby Fairfield from Waterville. But your ETA in Boston from Waterville depends on traffic, accidents and other factors,” the article said.
“When you are watching your phone and traveling, it is dynamically updating and taking into account all of these variables,” Moore said.Read full article